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mlbAlt Total.2026-05-16🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 0d94ca78

Over 6.5

Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians

-245risk0.5u→win0.2u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.5u

Odds

-245

Closing

pending

CLV

-

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Friendly alt over at 71.0% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, over rung lower-juice (71.0% vs 74.0%).

Signal

Same lineup gate as ML

Context

MLB alt-total surface, over-side at friendly rung

Risk

Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.

Final · Grading detail
Cincinnati Reds4
Cleveland Guardians7
Winner: Cleveland Guardians · 2026-05-16
Related Picks (20)

Audit trail

Pick ID#799
UUID93b8d239-7326-4faa-9be5-bfae567f7a93
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-16 20:56 UTC
Graded2026-05-17 01:13 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824435:2026-05-16T22:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash0d94ca78845922f6fde5125852e09b784748b9430b9904bb93053ca5249114c2

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger78.0% hashed
    1,378 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close65.9% closed
    1,378 settled picks · 65.9% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public0 pending
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