Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-08-19🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 83823876

Janelle Salaun Over 1.5 3PM

Minnesota Lynx @ Golden State Valkyries

-175risk0.16u→win0.09u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.16u

Odds

-175

Closing

-188

CLV

+2.58%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +23.0pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings) (ref: 698384)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Game context

Context signals

  • +23.0pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #10 vs this prop (-1.0% vs league avg over 26 games)
  • 86.7% over last 15 games

Line movement

-175-188-0.04 dec
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window
Picks
23
Settled
23
Hit rate
60.9%
14-9
ROI
-4.96%
-0.17u
CLV avg
+0.96%
n=23
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (23 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (16)

CLV math

Posted
-175
1.5714
Closing
-188
1.5319
Delta
+2.58%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1810
UUID817c2410-62e0-48ca-8dbe-21d304ee93e1
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-08-19 14:38 UTC
Graded2026-08-20 05:05 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash83823876eff42ca1681c91958d87ed2265155a8be0b0699057df9c25506d6d7f
Closing line-188 captured 2026-08-20 00:42 UTC
CLV delta+2.58%
Closing hasha1cee33184f58d005672d8276bc09af24d5b5d60a76124decad81cac523571ed

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public14 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801