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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-17🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED a4f61769

Tampa Bay Rays ML

Miami Marlins @ Tampa Bay Rays

-160risk0.5u→win0.31u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.5u

Odds

-160

Closing

-149

CLV

-2.76%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: bovada)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model (ref: ba908f)

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Miami Marlins3
Tampa Bay Rays6
Winner: Tampa Bay Rays · 2026-05-17
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-160
1.6250
Closing
-149
1.6711
Delta
-2.76%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#822
UUIDba150402-0348-4910-b4c9-a6769831734d
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-17 15:01 UTC
Graded2026-05-17 19:14 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:822982:2026-05-17T16:15:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hasha4f617699917adcc1ba82256e82719bea7b1ce5db8561f97fd1eb9e1d48025d4
Closing line-149 captured 2026-05-17 16:17 UTC
CLV delta-2.76%
Closing hash99173f7e3a52b125b256de4f75f105f4c86d41d887d88d11c94b2d0e3c586887

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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