Under 9
Miami Marlins @ Tampa Bay Rays
Edge
Friendly alt under at 70.1% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: vegas total 7.5 ≤ 7.5 (low-scoring band) → under.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-total surface, under-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Miami Marlins3
Tampa Bay Rays6
Winner: Tampa Bay Rays · 2026-05-17
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#824
UUID88ce1981-8e9d-46cb-b2d3-6400eb84df5f
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-17 15:01 UTC
Graded2026-05-17 19:21 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:822982:2026-05-17T16:15:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash59c2277d54922e3188f6663a7f2300c94b775b91f1151be064b3375ff87ae1f0
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Why this receipt is trustable
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