Over 6.5
Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves
Edge
Friendly alt over at 71.0% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, over rung lower-juice (71.0% vs 73.7%).
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-total surface, over-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Boston Red Sox1
Atlanta Braves8
Winner: Atlanta Braves · 2026-05-17
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#851
UUIDeceebab9-b0c6-43d7-902c-e7de0842a709
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-17 17:06 UTC
Graded2026-05-17 20:54 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824923:2026-05-17T17:35:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashc7eba15ba80e9efcbc0e369c01bf31624b26baed07b48826b6bee74f25027925
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Why this receipt is trustable
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