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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-17🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 3cbb16e9

Atlanta Braves ML

Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves

-146risk0.5u→win0.34u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.5u

Odds

-146

Closing

-144

CLV

-0.56%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanduel)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Boston Red Sox1
Atlanta Braves8
Winner: Atlanta Braves · 2026-05-17
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-146
1.6849
Closing
-144
1.6944
Delta
-0.56%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#849
UUIDde8ff687-d235-4c06-9547-da9ac554d72f
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-17 17:06 UTC
Graded2026-05-17 20:44 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824923:2026-05-17T17:35:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash3cbb16e92fb6bda531fb8bd7670d468746042508a25a986a3066d17bb19a87f2
Closing line-144 captured 2026-05-17 17:37 UTC
CLV delta-0.56%
Closing hash0bc80ad0808716e52d9a67755e0e3839ced26af17d930b353293d5f9c717e135

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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