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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-17🔒Pro◆◆◆◆Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 54ac2f52

Chicago Cubs ML

Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox

-132risk0.5uwin0.38u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.5u

Odds

-132

Closing

-132

CLV

0.00%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: draftkings)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Chicago Cubs8
Chicago White Sox9
Winner: Chicago White Sox · 2026-05-17
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-132
1.7576
Closing
-132
1.7576
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#852
UUIDde67a2e4-52b0-40d4-bd1c-9974051aac5d
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-17 17:41 UTC
Graded2026-05-17 21:34 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824599:2026-05-17T18:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash54ac2f52bcc8e72004bcd03e77d7e53743983632acb80b2e0a9a66f520a8bb5d
Closing line-132 captured 2026-05-17 18:11 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hash94afce83c1bbdafc4a0a41df926071d96dcdd741b0e56f7b9c37f79ce1900af1

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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