Philadelphia Phillies ML
Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time (ESPN DraftKings)
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30
Final · Grading detail
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger87.4% hashed1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close62.0% closed1,126 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public11 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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