Texas Rangers -1
Texas Rangers @ Colorado Rockies
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 51.0% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Texas Rangers → away spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, away-side at friendly rung (ref: cdf443)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Texas Rangers5
Colorado Rockies4
Winner: Texas Rangers · 2026-05-20
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-104
1.9615
Closing
+123
2.2300
Delta
-12.04%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#986
UUID9bd3ecd3-365b-40a2-b632-66b8a96b6453
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-20 17:55 UTC
Graded2026-05-20 22:07 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824355:2026-05-20T19:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashab65b927bf3856c81396208527b71a62776696b779ac6c6a9ef01da9fe21458b
Closing line+123 captured 2026-05-20 19:11 UTC
CLV delta-12.04%
Closing hashc95b22a0c7dd4bb37934fc3e74ac0840ba32bb3b3f2b513b199f241c367b9a5a
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger87.4% hashed1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close62.0% closed1,126 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public11 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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