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wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-08-15🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 563a4991

Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

Minnesota Lynx @ Las Vegas Aces

-170risk0.21u→win0.12u

WIN

Stake

0.21u

Odds

-170

Closing

-171

CLV

+0.22%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 93.3% over last 15 games vs 63.0% implied → +30.4pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

⊞Game context

Context signals

+30.4pt EV vs implied
93.3% over last 15 games
Vegas total 183 (WNBA avg 165; high-scoring environment).

Line movement

-170-171-0.00 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window

Picks

39

Settled

39

Hit rate

68.4%

26-12

ROI

+7.62%

+0.43u

CLV avg

-0.38%

n=38

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (39 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

LNatasha Howard Over 9.5 Points@ -1752026-08-19 WJanelle Salaun Over 1.5 3PM@ -1752026-08-19 LChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-08-18 LA'ja Wilson Over 8.5 Rebounds@ -1792026-08-13 WKayla McBride Over 14.5 Points@ -1722026-08-12 WA'ja Wilson Over 8.5 Rebounds@ -1732026-08-11 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1672026-08-08 LKelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM@ -1792026-08-06 WKelsey Mitchell Over 19.5 Points@ -1922026-08-02 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -2132026-08-01

Same model

LRyan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Hits@ -1762026-08-23 WSeiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits@ -1792026-08-23 LRoyce Lewis Over 0.5 Hits@ -1762026-08-21 WErica Wheeler Over 7.5 Points@ -1632026-08-20 LNatasha Howard Over 9.5 Points@ -1752026-08-19

CLV math

Posted

-170

1.5882

Closing

-171

1.5848

Delta

+0.22%

posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1780

UUID9d55e6d6-e181-40b2-b985-19fb8ae43392

Surfaceprop-slate-daily

Posted2026-08-15 15:04 UTC

Graded2026-08-16 03:05 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hash563a4991542666ed48b0e57a81b5b2f1ff0486a082776b2e68255b3cf190adbd

Closing line-171 captured 2026-08-15 22:35 UTC

CLV delta+0.22%

Closing hashadf6662c97585e275de63a929dc5d11aed1d34591a53324aa3123c8db958af21

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger96.1% hashed
981 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close58.3% closed
981 settled picks · 58.3% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public0 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801