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wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-08-13🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 84bcbd71

A'ja Wilson Over 8.5 Rebounds

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

Washington Mystics @ Las Vegas Aces

-179risk0.11u→win0.06u

LOSS

Stake

0.11u

Odds

-179

Closing

-181

CLV

+0.40%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 64.2% implied → +15.8pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

⊞Game context

Context signals

+15.8pt EV vs implied
80.0% over last 15 games
Bayesian-shrunk to 80.0%

Line movement

-179-181-0.01 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window

Picks

39

Settled

39

Hit rate

68.4%

26-12

ROI

+7.62%

+0.43u

CLV avg

-0.38%

n=38

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (39 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

LChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-08-18 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-08-15 WA'ja Wilson Over 8.5 Rebounds@ -1732026-08-11 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1672026-08-08 LKelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM@ -1792026-08-06 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -2132026-08-01 LChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -2392026-07-30 WA'ja Wilson Over 8.5 Rebounds@ -2232026-07-30 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -2172026-07-28 WSonia Citron Over 2.5 Assists@ -1702026-07-18

Same model

LRyan Waldschmidt Over 0.5 Hits@ -1762026-08-23 WSeiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits@ -1792026-08-23 LRoyce Lewis Over 0.5 Hits@ -1762026-08-21 WErica Wheeler Over 7.5 Points@ -1632026-08-20 LNatasha Howard Over 9.5 Points@ -1752026-08-19

CLV math

Posted

-179

1.5587

Closing

-181

1.5525

Delta

+0.40%

posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1773

UUIDa1d50d4f-8c96-4afd-8d5d-2a26e6797e3e

Surfaceprop-slate-daily

Posted2026-08-13 15:12 UTC

Graded2026-08-14 05:05 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hash84bcbd71f9311ffe766f46b5c0dd54d11712f8cd32d30cac6c10da8cd71b7958

Closing line-181 captured 2026-08-14 00:36 UTC

CLV delta+0.40%

Closing hash9a2c25ae5e412d5d995a5f16238e0eabb2b36b6ed2412fed9f824299f5ac7aac

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger96.1% hashed
981 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close58.3% closed
981 settled picks · 58.3% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public0 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801