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wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-08-01🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 8e0d8bcf

Chelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

Las Vegas Aces @ Chicago Sky

-213risk0.2u→win0.09u

WIN

ESPN box score →

Stake

0.2u

Odds

-213

Closing

-213

CLV

0.00%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 93.3% over last 15 games vs 68.1% implied → +25.3pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

⊞Game context

Context signals

+25.3pt EV vs implied
Opp ranks #8 vs this prop (+2.9% vs league avg over 77 games)
93.3% over last 15 games

Line movement

-213-2130.00 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window

Picks

23

Settled

23

Hit rate

60.9%

14-9

ROI

-4.96%

-0.17u

CLV avg

+0.96%

n=23

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (23 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

WAzura Stevens Over 5.5 Rebounds@ -1782026-08-18 LChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-08-18 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-08-15 LA'ja Wilson Over 8.5 Rebounds@ -1792026-08-13 WA'ja Wilson Over 8.5 Rebounds@ -1732026-08-11 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1672026-08-08 WKelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM@ -1752026-08-08 LKelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM@ -1792026-08-06 WKelsey Plum Over 11.5 Points@ -2442026-08-03 LChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -2392026-07-30

Same model

LT.J. Rumfield Over 0.5 Hits@ -1642026-09-09 LRafael Devers Over 0.5 Total Bases@ -1672026-09-08 WCal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits@ -1672026-09-08 LLawrence Butler Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-08 WHéctor Rodríguez Over 0.5 Hits@ -1762026-09-07

CLV math

Posted

-213

1.4695

Closing

-213

1.4695

Delta

0.00%

posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1696

UUIDda881d47-a7b4-4b98-92a5-b2dde4087b16

Surfaceprop-slate-daily

Posted2026-08-01 15:14 UTC

Graded2026-08-01 20:15 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hash8e0d8bcf4cd3885198710b458df21cff272686b66c3fdfe2f6b40570e9c5cc40

Closing line-213 captured 2026-08-01 15:52 UTC

CLV delta+0.00%

Closing hash9f90eb31e32129da2a903d331816d189d014c8010354536f69e1d5503e6e227d

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close62.0% closed
1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public14 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801