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mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-08-28🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED a20f512c

Heliot Ramos Under 0.5 Runs Scored

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

-175risk0.12u→win0.07u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.12u

Odds

-175

Closing

-175

CLV

0.00%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 95.2% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +21.2pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (betmgm)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Boston Red Sox0
New York Yankees1
Winner: New York Yankees · 2026-08-28
Model Record (30d)
Picks
15
Settled
13
Hit rate
66.7%
8-4
ROI
-1.07%
-0.02u
CLV avg
+0.35%
n=11
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (13 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-175
1.5714
Closing
-175
1.5714
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#3877
UUID0692b757-4018-4c45-93a7-c18326983f4d
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-08-28 20:03 UTC
Graded2026-08-29 05:20 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hasha20f512cb91a92e9370f7968c8308ce80f2098209bb28522c8009f068c25b4f7
Closing line-175 captured 2026-08-28 21:50 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hash781a3604bfa8692c9e8aa3f9274d7a7ef3ba98e05bcc3eb2a34ce5f11c04bed8

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public14 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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