Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
nbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-05-31🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED e948fe14

Victor Wembanyama Under 29.5 Points

New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs

-174risk0.11u→win0.06u
WIN

Stake

0.11u

Odds

-174

Closing

-185

CLV

+2.22%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.5% implied → +20.4pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanduel) (ref: 2599a1)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%

Game context

Context signals

  • +20.4pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #8 vs this prop (+0.4% vs league avg over 155 games)
  • 80.0% over last 15 games

Line movement

-174-185-0.03 dec
Related Picks (19)

CLV math

Posted
-174
1.5747
Closing
-185
1.5405
Delta
+2.22%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1077
UUID8c808b8e-b04f-4fb9-ae4a-9218d90d4845
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-31 20:30 UTC
Graded2026-06-04 04:05 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashe948fe1437ac80542206f06936830fd9ad5eedd576889df90033c223c6fbc6cc
Closing line-185 captured 2026-06-04 00:13 UTC
CLV delta+2.22%
Closing hash8f195a51b362791184ac7f10ab8fc2735749a179ed4e90e03d8a6d168565f1d0

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,125 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801