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nbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-06-02🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED be2d11b0

Devin Vassell Under 14.5 Points

New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs

-174risk0.16u→win0.09u
WIN

Stake

0.16u

Odds

-174

Closing

-165

CLV

-1.95%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 63.5% implied → +27.1pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanduel) (ref: 369ad5)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%

Game context

Context signals

  • +27.1pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #10 vs this prop (-21.6% vs league avg over 108 games)
  • 86.7% over last 15 games

Line movement

-174-165+0.03 dec
Related Picks (19)

CLV math

Posted
-174
1.5747
Closing
-165
1.6061
Delta
-1.95%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1092
UUID5d03c73a-f655-4355-98b2-9bb2cd952328
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-06-02 20:30 UTC
Graded2026-06-04 03:35 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashbe2d11b02ad78eaca2f9af24aeae799d9081b40e835820557fe4eb441df12f69
Closing line-165 captured 2026-06-03 23:01 UTC
CLV delta-1.95%
Closing hashbeff8ac91b0a90cccbe0f3ef053f02b7862e811cfbc2767cac3e5f66240240d3

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public14 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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