OG Anunoby Over 16.5 Points
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Edge
Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +25.3pt EV.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanatics)
Risk
Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%
Final · Grading detail
New York Knicks94
San Antonio Spurs90
Winner: New York Knicks · 2026-06-13
Related Picks (16)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-175
1.5714
Closing
-155
1.6452
Delta
-4.48%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#1123
UUID5f21adcb-6741-45c6-ac67-bfce63c25afc
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-06-11 20:30 UTC
Graded2026-06-14 04:05 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash9498aca9e6a403082b895714665651b8a5d5b504da178d3c3103fbe2847612d5
Closing line-155 captured 2026-06-13 23:11 UTC
CLV delta-4.48%
Closing hashe417f98ba748ad7ddc718e6490e2671c35a3073dffc9306ca532b1b15fddd78c
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.6% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public9 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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