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wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-08-18🔒Pro◆◆◆◆Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 138b0d61

Odyssey Sims Under 2.5 Rebounds

Dallas Wings @ Golden State Valkyries

-170risk0.22uwin0.13u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.22u

Odds

-170

Closing

-190

CLV

+4.06%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 100.0% over last 15 games vs 63.0% implied → +36.0pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (bovada)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Game context

Context signals

  • +36.0pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #10 vs this prop (+0.1% vs league avg over 26 games)
  • 100.0% over last 15 games

Line movement

-170-190-0.06 dec
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2-devig-mktTrailing 30-day window
Picks
4
Settled
4
Hit rate
75.0%
3-1
ROI
+17.93%
+0.16u
CLV avg
-0.82%
n=4
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (4 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (15)

CLV math

Posted
-170
1.5882
Closing
-190
1.5263
Delta
+4.06%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1799
UUID177e77eb-f8b4-4e6d-9512-baeb5eca15a1
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-08-18 00:00 UTC
Graded2026-08-18 05:05 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash138b0d61f5e6f041404615b23907076f3bf3011aab522999f455099fce0ed47b
Closing line-190 captured 2026-08-18 01:48 UTC
CLV delta+4.06%
Closing hash07cb6de6fddedb91537b2f0044099e2510115edac570f1c1d2478849247f78e7

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.6% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public9 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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