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wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-07-16🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 68e3d0b5

Emily Engstler Over 5.5 Rebounds

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

Portland Fire @ Washington Mystics

-163risk0.1u→win0.06u

LOSS

ESPN box score →

Stake

0.1u

Odds

-163

Closing

-165

CLV

+0.46%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 73.3% over last 15 games vs 62.0% implied → +11.4pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

⊞Game context

Context signals

+11.4pt EV vs implied
Opp ranks #1 vs this prop (+11.5% vs league avg over 78 games)
73.3% over last 15 games

Line movement

-163-165-0.01 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window

Picks

23

Settled

23

Hit rate

60.9%

14-9

ROI

-4.96%

-0.17u

CLV avg

+0.96%

n=23

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (23 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

LA'ja Wilson Over 8.5 Rebounds@ -1792026-08-13 WKayla McBride Over 14.5 Points@ -1722026-08-12 WA'ja Wilson Over 8.5 Rebounds@ -1732026-08-11 LNneka Ogwumike Over 2.5 Assists@ -2192026-08-02 WKelsey Mitchell Over 19.5 Points@ -2422026-07-31 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -2172026-07-28 WSonia Citron Over 2.5 Assists@ -1702026-07-18 LKiki Iriafen Over 11.5 Points@ -1712026-07-18 WOlivia Miles Over 3.5 Rebounds@ -1892026-07-18 WEmily Engstler Over 7.5 Points@ -1742026-07-13

Same model

LT.J. Rumfield Over 0.5 Hits@ -1642026-09-09 LRafael Devers Over 0.5 Total Bases@ -1672026-09-08 WCal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits@ -1672026-09-08 LLawrence Butler Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-08 WHéctor Rodríguez Over 0.5 Hits@ -1762026-09-07

CLV math

Posted

-163

1.6135

Closing

-165

1.6061

Delta

+0.46%

posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1414

UUID3af7579d-c993-49e5-8c1a-f79ef65b70dd

Surfaceprop-slate-daily

Posted2026-07-16 20:33 UTC

Graded2026-07-17 03:05 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hash68e3d0b58c47cca4ea459250be3395fb81b2ed22798328b98595ff94b60674ad

Closing line-165 captured 2026-07-16 21:44 UTC

CLV delta+0.46%

Closing hashb2d79dc2f12198528d21d6232c7c16d205c0be63023e2c1f7d458945dc5bc908

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close62.0% closed
1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public14 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

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