Byron Buxton Over 0.5 Hits
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
-235PENDING
Edge
Empirical 79.6% over last 15 games vs 70.1% implied → +9.5pt EV.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanatics) (ref: 756551)
Risk
Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25.
Audit trail
Pick ID#550
UUIDcebccae4-3ce3-4fac-844c-d9f12a2867c5
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-08 18:37 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashba2584a8014c81545efb302708f50524b4bfe01c71c56564d3246464f985751b
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).
NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801