Cleveland Guardians +1.5
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 71.9% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Minnesota Twins4
Cleveland Guardians6
Winner: Cleveland Guardians · 2026-05-08
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#571
UUIDad74535c-b740-4fe1-8a1e-7788ceba8030
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-08 22:46 UTC
Graded2026-05-09 02:22 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824443:2026-05-08T23:15:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash014aeb9c5b8a53c2f01cb1c7e2008d4d85efce06dd286844d294c35876bd33e7
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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