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wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-07-14🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 1bb89700

Olivia Miles Over 17.5 Points

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

Los Angeles Sparks @ Minnesota Lynx

-168risk0.1u→win0.06u

WIN

ESPN box score →

Stake

0.1u

Odds

-168

Closing

-233

CLV

+11.62%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 73.3% over last 15 games vs 62.7% implied → +10.6pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

⊞Game context

Context signals

+10.6pt EV vs implied
Opp ranks #8 vs this prop (+1.1% vs league avg over 97 games)
73.3% over last 15 games

Line movement

-168-233-0.17 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window

Picks

23

Settled

23

Hit rate

60.9%

14-9

ROI

-4.96%

-0.17u

CLV avg

+0.96%

n=23

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (23 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

WErica Wheeler Over 7.5 Points@ -1632026-08-20 LNatasha Howard Over 9.5 Points@ -1752026-08-19 WJanelle Salaun Over 1.5 3PM@ -1752026-08-19 WAriel Atkins Over 7.5 Points@ -1652026-08-18 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-08-15 WKayla McBride Over 14.5 Points@ -1722026-08-12 WNneka Ogwumike Over 14.5 Points@ -1672026-08-11 WDearica Hamby Over 11.5 Points@ -1802026-08-09 WChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1672026-08-08 WKelsey Mitchell Over 19.5 Points@ -1922026-08-02

Same model

LT.J. Rumfield Over 0.5 Hits@ -1642026-09-09 LRafael Devers Over 0.5 Total Bases@ -1672026-09-08 WCal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits@ -1672026-09-08 LLawrence Butler Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-08 WHéctor Rodríguez Over 0.5 Hits@ -1762026-09-07

CLV math

Posted

-168

1.5952

Closing

-233

1.4292

Delta

+11.62%

posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1413

UUID60c0a503-af13-409e-b5a2-18f328ef7abd

Surfaceprop-slate-daily

Posted2026-07-14 20:33 UTC

Graded2026-07-29 14:59 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hash1bb89700d87f2512a3570c81e72d9695dfd638db68898f9eb848f613f8201526

Closing line-233 captured 2026-07-15 15:45 UTC

CLV delta+11.62%

Closing hash7b38521d369a2d808cb9283d23b55a46d6cab4a68d9d734ccabe11de67336bad

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close62.0% closed
1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public14 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801