Miguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits
Seattle Mariners @ Chicago White Sox
-240PENDING
Edge
Empirical 80.8% over last 15 games vs 70.6% implied → +10.2pt EV.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanduel)
Risk
Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25.
Audit trail
Pick ID#633
UUID842bdf34-f36b-47f7-9b99-cd9c6aa5aaf2
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-09 22:49 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash588fd6d29ea31a365d1a21f83f6d5feb3a4a615188e6c44bdf446d0a8260c488
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).
NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801