Portland Fire +11.5
Chicago Sky @ Portland Fire
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 73.7% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
WNBA alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Audit trail
Pick ID#645
UUID3bcb2534-a2c1-4a22-b649-283dcc645b09
Surfacesharp_degraded:WNBA
Posted2026-05-10 00:30 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash5d909ed190a27cb0b29bdce6569fbbaf9c78b5ddff24222001da961c01398dcc
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