Nick Suzuki Over 0.5 Points
Buffalo Sabres @ Montréal Canadiens
-250LOSS
Edge
Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 71.4% implied → +8.6pt EV.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NHL player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)
Risk
Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25.
Audit trail
Pick ID#686
UUID9c90face-eeee-4f4f-9a1a-16483f898268
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-11 20:36 UTC
Graded2026-05-13 04:42 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash127c8bdd45f9ef376a224b98af47cbed107103528a10da38019b7995bb4e16d8
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