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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-15🔒Pro◆◆◆◆Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 7d9826c5

Pittsburgh Pirates ML

Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates

-130risk1uwin0.77u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

1u

Odds

-130

Closing

-136

CLV

+1.96%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: fanatics)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model (ref: f3a703)

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Philadelphia Phillies11
Pittsburgh Pirates9
Winner: Philadelphia Phillies · 2026-05-15
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-130
1.7692
Closing
-136
1.7353
Delta
+1.96%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#759
UUIDddba4d59-87e5-4374-ae1a-5c904117c45c
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-15 21:26 UTC
Graded2026-05-16 02:09 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823384:2026-05-15T22:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash7d9826c54d663a0a7dabfb79879630acaab34b83cc0d5d11fc507c8ee72157a7
Closing line-136 captured 2026-05-15 22:42 UTC
CLV delta+1.96%
Closing hash879ba7d8c7c3aeedf77bfa0ce6fe0ecad88fc10e6c1a685ae0896d9acc205911

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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