Under 10
Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves
Edge
Friendly alt under at 74.2% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: vegas total 7.5 ≤ 7.5 (low-scoring band) → under.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-total surface, under-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Boston Red Sox2
Atlanta Braves3
Winner: Atlanta Braves · 2026-05-15
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#767
UUID1e7824d7-c062-4073-b333-cfc47a8ffecd
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-15 22:46 UTC
Graded2026-05-16 02:19 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824925:2026-05-15T23:15:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash558c411434aca3ca732f67c2c18005d670c11cfd04b22d5f6bcad72d3d3e719d
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Why this receipt is trustable
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