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mlbAlt Spread.2026-05-16🔒Pro◆◆◆◆Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED e5ec2b42

Chicago White Sox +2.5

Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox

-265risk0.75uwin0.28u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.75u

Odds

-265

Closing

pending

CLV

-

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Friendly alt spread at 72.6% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Chicago White Sox → home spread.

Signal

Same lineup gate as ML

Context

MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung (ref: 879a58)

Risk

Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.

Final · Grading detail
Chicago Cubs3
Chicago White Sox8
Winner: Chicago White Sox · 2026-05-16
Related Picks (20)

Audit trail

Pick ID#813
UUID04a84f80-625c-4a89-b451-cabe29cb4ceb
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-16 21:56 UTC
Graded2026-05-17 01:53 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824600:2026-05-16T23:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashe5ec2b42f75b9d3096a8cfb2f2870dca6fe2ec4c306fe11c07daada4725c4bd4

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
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