Under 11
Chicago Cubs @ Chicago White Sox
Edge
Friendly alt under at 72.2% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: neutral vegas band, both rungs tied at 72.2% — Under wins on vig-asymmetry research.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-total surface, under-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Chicago Cubs3
Chicago White Sox8
Winner: Chicago White Sox · 2026-05-16
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#814
UUID7aa3bf50-f5a1-42b7-9081-5f7856978825
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-16 21:56 UTC
Graded2026-05-17 01:58 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824600:2026-05-16T23:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashc7f8e37ae918545c107e5e354eabd3860dfdbf6d3e475bb1e5588037d056b96b
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Why this receipt is trustable
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