Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-07-17🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 2589a253

Wyatt Langford Over 0.5 Hits

Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves

-196risk0.17u→win0.09uVOIDESPN box score →

Stake

0.17u

Odds

-196

Closing

-196

CLV

0.00%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 88.8% over last 15 games vs 66.2% implied → +22.6pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Texas Rangers1
Atlanta Braves15
Winner: Atlanta Braves · 2026-07-17
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2-handed-fallback-parkTrailing 30-day window
Picks
22
Settled
22
Hit rate
60.0%
12-8
ROI
-5.88%
-0.18u
CLV avg
+1.25%
n=19
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (22 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (18)

CLV math

Posted
-196
1.5102
Closing
-196
1.5102
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1417
UUID967b2cfb-6957-47f5-9a54-2e050fdbd0b6
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-07-17 21:09 UTC
Graded2026-07-18 03:05 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash2589a253b37eebbe73b3c4f50088105fc10f33cfc360af2c94d2f7110aa6eab3
Closing line-196 captured 2026-07-17 21:47 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hashad437372061459b232ffd108ef6f14b0dbf6666fab141f157fcc54a4ac946e58

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public14 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801