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mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-08-05🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED e0f75b4d

George Springer Over 0.5 Hits

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros

-179risk0.15u→win0.08u

LOSS

Stake

0.15u

Odds

-179

Closing

-186

CLV

+1.37%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 86.2% over last 15 games vs 64.2% implied → +22.1pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (bovada)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

⊞Game context

Context signals

+22.1pt EV vs implied
Opp ranks #14 vs this prop (-1.6% vs league avg over 211 games)
86.2% over last 15 games

Line movement

-179-186-0.02 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

prop-edge-v2-handed-fallback-parkTrailing 30-day window

Picks

22

Settled

22

Hit rate

60.0%

12-8

ROI

-5.88%

-0.18u

CLV avg

+1.25%

n=19

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (22 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

•Houston Astros ML@ +1502026-09-10 •Brandon Marsh Under 0.5 Runs Scored@ -1752026-09-09 •Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Runs Scored@ -1762026-09-09 LLawrence Butler Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-08 WAthletics ML@ +1652026-09-06 VCHI White Sox ML@ +1342026-09-03 LChicago White Sox ML@ +1392026-09-03 LCam Smith Under 0.5 batter_singles@ -1752026-09-02 WMiguel Vargas Over 0.5 Hits@ -1782026-09-01 LToronto Blue Jays ML@ +1682026-08-31

Same model

WTyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Hits@ -1632026-09-07 LKaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Hits@ -1642026-09-06 WKaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Hits@ -1632026-09-05 LEzequiel Duran Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-05 WElly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-05

CLV math

Posted

-179

1.5587

Closing

-186

1.5376

Delta

+1.37%

posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1741

UUID9d5459cb-aba9-4026-adbb-b35e21ce42a8

Surfacesharp:MLB

Posted2026-08-05 16:55 UTC

Graded2026-08-05 21:15 UTC

Lineup confirmmlb:824158:2026-08-05T18:10:00Z

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hashe0f75b4df6a6fcfe793f9b39df8089e0c5c9d6141e719f4c0428621515883a92

Closing line-186 captured 2026-08-05 17:04 UTC

CLV delta+1.37%

Closing hashe8fcc2a26fc539bda200ce84637973adbacdf77ffaaa2d242bf3d8c003923b5d

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close62.0% closed
1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public14 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801