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wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-08-05🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED c0a80434

Kelsey Plum Over 14.5 Points

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

Phoenix Mercury @ Atlanta Dream

-164risk0.12u→win0.07u

WIN

Stake

0.12u

Odds

-164

Closing

-163

CLV

-0.23%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 62.1% implied → +17.9pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

⊞Game context

Context signals

+17.9pt EV vs implied
80.0% over last 15 games
Vegas total 182.5 (WNBA avg 165; high-scoring environment).

Line movement

-164-163+0.00 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window

Picks

23

Settled

23

Hit rate

60.9%

14-9

ROI

-4.96%

-0.17u

CLV avg

+0.96%

n=23

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (23 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

WErica Wheeler Over 7.5 Points@ -1632026-08-20 LChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-08-18 LKelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM@ -1702026-08-16 WNneka Ogwumike Over 14.5 Points@ -1672026-08-11 WKelsey Plum Over 11.5 Points@ -2442026-08-03 WKahleah Copper Over 2.5 Rebounds@ -2312026-07-29 WJordin Canada Under 1.5 3PM@ -2452026-07-29 LNatasha Mack Over 5.5 Rebounds@ -2102026-07-19 LAngel Reese Over 14.5 Points@ -2182026-07-19 VNyara Sabally Over 3.5 Rebounds@ -2502026-07-17

Same model

LT.J. Rumfield Over 0.5 Hits@ -1642026-09-09 LRafael Devers Over 0.5 Total Bases@ -1672026-09-08 WCal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits@ -1672026-09-08 LLawrence Butler Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-08 WHéctor Rodríguez Over 0.5 Hits@ -1762026-09-07

CLV math

Posted

-164

1.6098

Closing

-163

1.6135

Delta

-0.23%

posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1742

UUIDb198992a-a15d-4d83-b07f-412216b3f189

Surfaceprop-slate-daily

Posted2026-08-05 20:37 UTC

Graded2026-08-06 02:15 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hashc0a8043421ce3850739225480843e88d9333c4dffad3773cd05a21473f7fb4ec

Closing line-163 captured 2026-08-05 21:34 UTC

CLV delta-0.23%

Closing hash335d4a56f913774b70d7e1d8cdb9bea2a528a32b2f2fe2f0efe00fff6dd0107f

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close62.0% closed
1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public14 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801