/ Daily Fact-Check

2026-09-05 (5-7)

Every pick we fired for games on this ET calendar day. Each card links straight to ESPN's box score so you can confirm the final score yourself. Settled by espn-grader within ~5 minutes of the game ending; no manual override.

Crowned · Pick of the DayMLB · ANNOUNCED 11:02 AM ET

New York Mets ML -170

San Francisco Giants @ New York Mets

Why crowned: the single highest-conviction moneyline on today's board — the market prices New York Mets at a 37.0% implied win probability at -170, the best edge-to-price on the slate when it was crowned.

Tipoff: Sat, Sep 5, 4:10 PMWin prob: 37.0%Open the full slate →

Picks

13

Settled

12

1 pending

Wins

5

Losses

7

Hit %

41.7%

FREE

MLBLOSS

MLB

PARLAY

MLB High-Floor (10 legs) +1097

+1097

MLB Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 Hits-243

MLB Ernie Clement Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Hits-275

MLB Geraldo Perdomo Over 0.5 Hits-198

MLB Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Hits-213

MLB Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 Hits-229

MLB Connor Norby Over 0.5 Hits-242

MLB Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Hits-244

MLB Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Hits-250

MLB Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits-250

0.50uView →

CLOSE —CLV —Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Atlanta Braves ML

+134

2.0uView →

CLOSE -110CLV +22.57%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBLOSS

Ozzie Albies

BRA vs PHI

ALT LINE

Ozzie Albies Over 0.5 Hits

0 / 0.5 H✗

-176

0.17uView →

CLOSE -170CLV -1.26%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

LA Angels ML

+149

2.0uView →

CLOSE +162CLV -4.96%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBWIN

Elly De La Cruz

BRE vs RED

ALT LINE

Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits

1 / 0.5 H✓

-170

0.19uView →

CLOSE -197CLV +5.35%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Baltimore Orioles ML

+127

2.0uView →

CLOSE +115CLV +5.58%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBLOSS

Ezequiel Duran

RAY vs RAN

ALT LINE

Ezequiel Duran Over 0.5 Hits

0 / 0.5 H✗

-170

0.12uView →

CLOSE -159CLV -2.50%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBWIN

Kaelen Culpepper

TWI vs SOX

ALT LINE

Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Hits

2 / 0.5 H✓

-163

0.12uView →

CLOSE -200CLV +7.57%Verify on ESPN →

FREE

MLBLOSS

MLB

PARLAY

2-Leg Parlay (2 legs) +159

+159

MLB Nolan Gorman Under 0.5 batter_singles-165

MLB Kaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Hits-163

1.0uView →

CLOSE +141CLV +7.47%Verify on ESPN →

PRO

MLBWIN

Nolan Gorman

CAR vs ROC

ALT LINE

Nolan Gorman Under 0.5 batter_singles

0 / 0.5 ✓

-165

0.22uView →

CLOSE -165CLV +0.00%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Washington Nationals ML

+189

2.0uView →

CLOSE +184CLV +1.76%Verify on ESPN →

MONEYLINE

Athletics ML

+205

2.0uView →

CLOSE +165CLV +15.09%Verify on ESPN →

FREE

MLB9:50 PMPENDING

RUNRUN

MONEYLINE

Away Total Runs ML

+139

2.0uView →

CLOSE —CLV —Verify on ESPN →

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How we grade: ESPN publishes final scores for every NBA / NHL / MLB / NFL game we track. Our espn-graderservice polls ESPN's public summary API every 5 minutes, reads the final score and winner straight off header.competitions[].competitors[], then writes win / loss / push / void back into our picks table. Click any ESPN box score link above to confirm the score yourself. Disagreements should never happen; if you find one, tell us and we'll fix it on the spot.

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