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nbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-05-27🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 372abae8

Devin Vassell Under 15.5 Points

Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs

-180risk0.16u→win0.09u
WIN

Stake

0.16u

Odds

-180

Closing

-160

CLV

-4.27%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 64.3% implied → +26.6pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanduel)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%

Game context

Context signals

  • +26.6pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #10 vs this prop (-2.9% vs league avg over 161 games)
  • 86.7% over last 15 games

Line movement

-180-160+0.07 dec
Related Picks (16)

CLV math

Posted
-180
1.5556
Closing
-160
1.6250
Delta
-4.27%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1054
UUIDe70e4cce-916e-4bce-8c36-327f3fa7a09a
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-27 20:30 UTC
Graded2026-05-29 04:05 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash372abae85fee4c7a1614226fc83012c207467a01b9db78eed39be52ea2b4ad5f
Closing line-160 captured 2026-05-28 23:11 UTC
CLV delta-4.27%
Closing hashaf4f6da41e2ff9d568a0a52c8e38cb3340b9af5be7d52cc89ba73e8deb0e0076

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,125 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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