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nbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-05-28🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 06b91037

Isaiah Hartenstein Over 7.5 Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs

-175risk0.11u→win0.06u
LOSS

Stake

0.11u

Odds

-175

Closing

-180

CLV

+1.02%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +22.9pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanatics)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%

Game context

Context signals

  • +22.9pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #9 vs this prop (-1.5% vs league avg over 132 games)
  • 80.0% over last 15 games

Line movement

-175-180-0.02 dec
Related Picks (16)

CLV math

Posted
-175
1.5714
Closing
-180
1.5556
Delta
+1.02%
posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1062
UUID0726706d-f65b-432e-af67-cdc3763e99ef
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-28 20:30 UTC
Graded2026-05-29 04:05 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash06b910379d157bb134d268f12ae0de1ec9be6b9bb04606abfa406007b29f7d2c
Closing line-180 captured 2026-05-28 23:11 UTC
CLV delta+1.02%
Closing hashd41c8d611c02116c5205b91d34d5a69f41a2fe94cd73876acbf2e40af62d6fdc

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,125 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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