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nbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-05-30🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 338d809a

Devin Vassell Under 14.5 Points

San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder

-178risk0.16u→win0.09u
WIN

Stake

0.16u

Odds

-178

Closing

-170

CLV

-1.66%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 64.0% implied → +26.7pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanduel)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%

Game context

Context signals

  • +26.7pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #8 vs this prop (-1.0% vs league avg over 146 games)
  • 86.7% over last 15 games

Line movement

-178-170+0.03 dec
Related Picks (16)

CLV math

Posted
-178
1.5618
Closing
-170
1.5882
Delta
-1.66%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1076
UUID0da37eb9-70c7-43ac-bc80-48ccdae0d47f
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-05-30 20:30 UTC
Graded2026-05-31 03:35 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash338d809ab37efc4caee0c1469f9e4f919ef5ef2758eb69cce33100860e9ad69a
Closing line-170 captured 2026-05-30 22:40 UTC
CLV delta-1.66%
Closing hash51553192465cc4e52a437c51b2ef72f1349622be2e585327fb639dd126448183

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,125 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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