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mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-05-31🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED f105f724

Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Hits

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

Arizona Diamondbacks @ Seattle Mariners

-165risk0.1u→win0.06u

LOSS

Stake

0.1u

Odds

-165

Closing

-142

CLV

-5.76%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 76.8% over last 15 games vs 62.3% implied → +14.5pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (fanatics)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%

⊞Game context

Context signals

+14.5pt EV vs implied
Opp ranks #19 vs this prop (-2.0% vs league avg over 280 games)
76.8% over last 15 games

Line movement

-165-142+0.10 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

prop-edge-v2-handed-fallback-parkTrailing 30-day window

Picks

22

Settled

22

Hit rate

60.0%

12-8

ROI

-5.88%

-0.18u

CLV avg

+1.25%

n=19

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (22 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

LTexas Rangers ML@ +1402026-09-09 WCal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits@ -1672026-09-08 WAthletics ML@ +2052026-09-05 WAthletics ML@ +1812026-09-03 LBoston Red Sox ML@ -1172026-08-31 WToronto Blue Jays ML@ +1142026-08-29 LBryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Hits@ -1642026-08-29 LArizona Diamondbacks ML@ -1122026-08-27 LSeattle Mariners ML@ +1182026-08-26 WSeiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Hits@ -1792026-08-23

Same model

WTyrone Taylor Over 0.5 Hits@ -1632026-09-07 LKaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Hits@ -1642026-09-06 WKaelen Culpepper Over 0.5 Hits@ -1632026-09-05 LEzequiel Duran Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-05 WElly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-05

CLV math

Posted

-165

1.6061

Closing

-142

1.7042

Delta

-5.76%

posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1078

UUIDd6ee2d5b-480b-441b-9a66-4a23302a6e6d

Surfaceprop-slate-daily

Posted2026-05-31 20:31 UTC

Graded2026-06-01 02:15 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hashf105f7247f02bdd74165a1b767955a5156c1d2ba1521c3d3769c99165bb497b0

Closing line-142 captured 2026-05-31 20:33 UTC

CLV delta-5.76%

Closing hashd641aa7f76a2d1d11d41093be10365194a8ea2b33205320f984c86a08f547d89

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close62.0% closed
1,126 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public11 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801