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mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-09-19🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 74380f91

Gleyber Torres Over 0.5 Hits

Detroit Tigers @ CHI White Sox

-178risk0.12u→win0.07uPENDINGESPN box score →
Bet onDK

Stake

0.12u

Odds

-178

Closing

pending

CLV

-

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 80.8% over last 15 games vs 64.0% implied → +16.8pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Game context
Chicago White SoxWLWLL
Detroit TigersLWLLW
H2HChicago White Sox2-1Detroit Tigerslast Sep 19

Context signals

  • +16.8pt EV vs implied
  • Opp ranks #10 vs this prop (+4.8% vs league avg over 309 games)
  • 80.8% over last 15 games
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2-handed-fallback-parkTrailing 30-day window
Picks
25
Settled
24
Hit rate
66.7%
16-8
ROI
+3.44%
+0.12u
CLV avg
+0.47%
n=23
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (24 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (20)

Audit trail

Pick ID#11542
UUIDc376cf91-53b4-4e3f-94a0-584c8dedd7c5
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-09-19 15:02 UTC
Gradedpending
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash74380f91d7dd1181bbd2e3ca3a3e7b691068ca5bab3d9956772cf9ee92344888

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.6% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public9 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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