Los Angeles Dodgers -1
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Minnesota Twins
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 56.5% implied (target 62%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: ML favorite Los Angeles Dodgers → away spread.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, away-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Los Angeles Dodgers2
Minnesota Twins1
Winner: Los Angeles Dodgers · 2026-06-22
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-125
1.8000
Closing
+102
2.0200
Delta
-10.89%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#1299
UUIDc40d7d11-e95c-45a9-9cab-a3635540ee2e
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-06-22 23:11 UTC
Graded2026-06-23 02:17 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823692:2026-06-22T23:40:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash5bf9ad0cced628eeba404e6f40830fe190bc3a5605211349fd09864c7f76e7a1
Closing line+102 captured 2026-06-22 23:42 UTC
CLV delta-10.89%
Closing hash4f52aabb74111a4513c8ce379a82e15af4fc161888d3786f3e7376a3dc6b4e7d
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger81.9% hashed1,267 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.6% closed1,256 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public11 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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