Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-09-15🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 35d52587

Trevor Story Over 0.5 Hits

Boston Red Sox @ Texas Rangers

-175risk0.17u→win0.1u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.17u

Odds

-175

Closing

-167

CLV

-1.71%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 88.0% over last 15 games vs 63.6% implied → +24.3pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (betrivers) (ref: 0246ed)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
Boston Red Sox2
Texas Rangers4
Winner: Texas Rangers · 2026-09-15
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2-handed-fallback-parkTrailing 30-day window
Picks
25
Settled
24
Hit rate
66.7%
16-8
ROI
+3.44%
+0.12u
CLV avg
+0.47%
n=23
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (24 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-175
1.5714
Closing
-167
1.5988
Delta
-1.71%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#10615
UUID9dcb3177-9c13-44e8-a737-29c2d3a67bcf
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-09-15 20:43 UTC
Graded2026-09-16 03:05 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash35d52587996d9c4a174709690708ba1bb4a8fe55ba57e5ac80a0958d173b1a7a
Closing line-167 captured 2026-09-15 22:37 UTC
CLV delta-1.71%
Closing hash6307e3a811f9cd167e94db4036edd12e22e894121e3ed95916992a210a16cd09

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,252 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.6% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.6% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public9 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801