New York Knicks ML
New York Knicks @ Atlanta Hawks
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
New York Knicks140
Atlanta Hawks89
Winner: New York Knicks · 2026-04-30
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-154
1.6494
Closing
-148
1.6757
Delta
-1.57%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#170
UUID0b34ea09-797c-4c71-b149-56e557faca6a
Surfacesharp:NBA
Posted2026-04-30 22:40 UTC
Graded2026-05-01 01:47 UTC
Lineup confirmnba:proximity:2026-04-30T23:10:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hashb8a50c274f9939efcbe96facfdef4bf7509d2e83e0ce4580820fea375c9315c4
Closing line-148 captured 2026-04-30 23:10 UTC
CLV delta-1.57%
Closing hash9abbb89efffb66e517b717d0405a49e636d3319287d70f1a16984e80514d55a4
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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