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wnbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-08-20🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 6a08e5d5

Erica Wheeler Over 7.5 Points

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

Atlanta Dream @ Los Angeles Sparks

-163risk0.12u→win0.07u

WIN

ESPN box score →

Stake

0.12u

Odds

-163

Closing

-167

CLV

+0.92%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 80.0% over last 15 games vs 62.0% implied → +18.0pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings) (ref: 748ed3)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

⊞Game context

Context signals

+18.0pt EV vs implied
Opp ranks #2 vs this prop (+17.0% vs league avg over 37 games)
80.0% over last 15 games

Line movement

-163-167-0.01 dec

◯Model Record (30d)

prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window

Picks

23

Settled

23

Hit rate

60.9%

14-9

ROI

-4.96%

-0.17u

CLV avg

+0.96%

n=23

Last 20 settled · cumulative units

ProvisionalProvisional sample (23 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

WAriel Atkins Over 7.5 Points@ -1652026-08-18 LChelsea Gray Over 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-08-18 LKelsey Mitchell Over 2.5 3PM@ -1702026-08-16 WNneka Ogwumike Over 14.5 Points@ -1672026-08-11 WDearica Hamby Over 11.5 Points@ -1802026-08-09 WKelsey Plum Over 14.5 Points@ -1642026-08-05 LNneka Ogwumike Over 2.5 Assists@ -2192026-08-02 WJordin Canada Under 1.5 3PM@ -2452026-07-29 LSabrina Ionescu Under 5.5 Assists@ -1702026-07-28 WCameron Brink Over 7.5 Points@ -1822026-07-19

Same model

LT.J. Rumfield Over 0.5 Hits@ -1642026-09-09 LRafael Devers Over 0.5 Total Bases@ -1672026-09-08 WCal Raleigh Over 0.5 Hits@ -1672026-09-08 LLawrence Butler Over 0.5 Hits@ -1702026-09-08 WHéctor Rodríguez Over 0.5 Hits@ -1762026-09-07

CLV math

Posted

-163

1.6135

Closing

-167

1.5988

Delta

+0.92%

posted/closing - 1

Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1813

UUID1d08d573-5b53-49dd-abe8-2701ab988cca

Surfaceprop-slate-daily

Posted2026-08-20 20:36 UTC

Graded2026-08-21 05:05 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hash6a08e5d5a6fa55af07f6bc58fb5c1454ffc3aec5fe7f53d2dc27dca2b1b3dc8d

Closing line-167 captured 2026-08-21 00:41 UTC

CLV delta+0.92%

Closing hashc4caeb91ad2802f23d1f7f2c75edec3d5b3f134231fc1b35d4d3405debbaeb3a

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close62.0% closed
1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public14 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

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