New York Knicks ML
Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Philadelphia 76ers98
New York Knicks137
Winner: New York Knicks · 2026-05-04
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-290
1.3448
Closing
-290
1.3448
Delta
0.00%
posted/closing - 1
Positive CLV means we beat the closing number. Leading indicator the model and timing edge are real.
Audit trail
Pick ID#438
UUIDa48ba071-8325-4735-bde9-6e3d4373eb85
Surfacesharp:NBA
Posted2026-05-04 23:40 UTC
Graded2026-05-05 02:50 UTC
Lineup confirmnba:proximity:2026-05-05T00:10:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash160988fb0d83f1e64ecef87e8f6f803e4f6b9e637a0e01822495d7f0a39b612d
Closing line-290 captured 2026-05-05 03:42 UTC
CLV delta+0.00%
Closing hashff17da407e18856441f4ff5f796d7988bde951fd6c2d05cb6bc777e7c8b37813
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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