Texas Rangers +3
Chicago Cubs @ Texas Rangers
Edge
Friendly alt spread at 76.1% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-spread surface, home-side at friendly rung (ref: 340cdf)
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Chicago Cubs0
Texas Rangers6
Winner: Texas Rangers · 2026-05-09
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#617
UUID5f74eb5d-9831-4098-88ee-f28895d621af
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-09 21:51 UTC
Graded2026-05-10 02:00 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:822905:2026-05-09T23:05:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash05fac54882b04f366674ef696529ba540437a138608a577b07a3b653bbf886dc
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
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