Skip to main content
NuroPicksAlpha
Today···Model 30d···0 LIVE
start
← back to record
mlbAlt PlayerProp.2026-07-19🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 88e4d2bf

Heliot Ramos Over 0.5 Hits

San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners

-178risk0.16u→win0.09u
WIN
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.16u

Odds

-178

Closing

-164

CLV

-2.98%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 64.0% implied → +22.6pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
San Francisco Giants3
Seattle Mariners6
Winner: Seattle Mariners · 2026-07-19
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window
Picks
23
Settled
23
Hit rate
60.9%
14-9
ROI
-4.96%
-0.17u
CLV avg
+0.96%
n=23
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (23 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-178
1.5618
Closing
-164
1.6098
Delta
-2.98%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#1540
UUID72198279-c250-4168-964a-18a5f2adaa01
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-07-19 14:18 UTC
Graded2026-07-20 02:15 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash88e4d2bf6f7ad3dfaafcb2872e1ece268ec8a38aee308e85aaf0806f030209e5
Closing line-164 captured 2026-07-19 18:40 UTC
CLV delta-2.98%
Closing hashd4cd44fd80a5a55e7d364361140c571c5c516213993af8ffcf029c9c2769c083

Share this receipt

Post to X 

Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger87.4% hashed
    1,137 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close62.0% closed
    1,123 settled picks · 62.0% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public14 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. NJ/PA: 1-800-GAMBLER · MI: 1-800-270-7117 · VA: 1-888-532-3500 · CO: 1-800-522-4700 · NY: 877-846-7369 (HOPENY).

NuroPicks LLC · 30 N Gould St Ste R, Sheridan, WY 82801