Over 9
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies
Edge
Friendly alt over at 71.0% implied (target 70%), trades payout for hit rate. Side rationale: vegas total 11.5 ≥ 10 (high-scoring band) → over.
Signal
Same lineup gate as ML
Context
MLB alt-total surface, over-side at friendly rung
Risk
Alt-line heuristic. No model fair-line; we're buying probability, not edge. Track CLV vs. mainline closing.
Final · Grading detail
Arizona Diamondbacks2
Colorado Rockies4
Winner: Colorado Rockies · 2026-05-16
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#794
UUID8cf641f6-af20-4e91-a2ca-b02b53cd45c2
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-16 18:41 UTC
Graded2026-05-16 22:33 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:824359:2026-05-16T19:10:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash2452ea3135b485211e4463e088a2ccfe5fd9ffab4326436e12978fc109bb7b7f
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Why this receipt is trustable
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