New York Knicks ML
Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks
Edge
Pre-tip moneyline favorite captured at fire time
Signal
Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
NBA Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model
Risk
sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record.
Final · Grading detail
Atlanta Hawks97
New York Knicks126
Winner: New York Knicks · 2026-04-28
Related Picks (15)
Same team (7d)
Same model
CLV math
Posted
-260
1.3846
Closing
-250
1.4000
Delta
-1.10%
posted/closing - 1
Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.
Audit trail
Pick ID#82
UUIDb18a5df4-5a38-49fd-bfb0-208748b40725
Surfacesharp:NBA
Posted2026-04-28 23:40 UTC
Graded2026-04-29 02:48 UTC
Lineup confirmnba:proximity:2026-04-29T00:10:00.000Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash7739b28deb134f8564c1207c0cc5c83f46f539eb464d1d96954ab070dbf8b087
Closing line-250 captured 2026-04-29 00:11 UTC
CLV delta-1.10%
Closing hash37b8edea8592f2ccf2b11911d9daba37055faf0b61b4c75fdb9045e887d2ea21
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Why this receipt is trustable
- Append-only ledger82.7% hashed1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
- Graded against close63.4% closed1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
- Every pick public12 pendingWins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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