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mlbMoneyline.2026-05-17🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 936909fa

Seattle Mariners ML

San Diego Padres @ Seattle Mariners

-160risk0.5u→win0.31u
LOSS
ESPN box score →

Stake

0.5u

Odds

-160

Closing

-156

CLV

-0.98%

Source

AI

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time
Edge

Pre-tip moneyline favorite, line-shopped to best of 13 US books (chosen book: betmgm)

Signal

Lineup-gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

MLB Tracked Pick · single-game pre-commit · v0 stub model (ref: 0bf832)

Risk

sharp-stub-v0 picks the moneyline favorite at fire time. The juice on favorites prices the raw hit rate; net edge after juice is unproven on this small sample. **No edge claim. Track, don't tail.** Public record at nuropicks.com/record. · elite-gate: n=15 < min 30

Final · Grading detail
San Diego Padres8
Seattle Mariners3
Winner: San Diego Padres · 2026-05-17
Related Picks (20)

CLV math

Posted
-160
1.6250
Closing
-156
1.6410
Delta
-0.98%
posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#885
UUID1b571a68-a4f5-4147-ba58-24b2ba7fac00
Surfacesharp:MLB
Posted2026-05-17 22:06 UTC
Graded2026-05-18 02:19 UTC
Lineup confirmmlb:823138:2026-05-17T23:20:00Z
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash936909fabdd376ea54f3173c767d43712ce101ac575da75a73f1d59ad78854e1
Closing line-156 captured 2026-05-17 23:22 UTC
CLV delta-0.98%
Closing hash7bbb3fc3781c9ad06c91883733983700cac56cbbc6d93f15668a6e6decec3a1a

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Why this receipt is trustable

  • Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
    1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
  • Graded against close63.4% closed
    1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
  • Every pick public12 pending
    Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.
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