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nbaAlt PlayerProp.2026-05-20🔒Pro◆◆◆◆◇Nuro Edge 8.0LOCKED 592df917

Isaiah Hartenstein Over 4.5 Rebounds

Name: NuroPicks
Availability: InStock
Author: NuroPicks LLC

San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder

-145risk0.17u→win0.12u

WIN

Stake

0.17u

Odds

-145

Closing

-104

CLV

-13.86%

Source

Why this pick4 factors · locked at post time

Edge

Empirical 86.7% over last 15 games vs 59.2% implied → +41.8pt EV.

Signal

Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)

Context

NBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (betmgm) (ref: 745fa1)

Risk

Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: roi=-7.5% < min 0%

⊞Game context

Context signals

+41.8pt EV vs implied
Opp ranks #4 vs this prop (+6.8% vs league avg over 121 games)
86.7% over last 15 games

Line movement

-145-104+0.27 dec

◢Related Picks (15)

Same team (7d)

WDevin Vassell Under 15.5 Points@ -1742026-06-13 LOG Anunoby Over 16.5 Points@ -1752026-06-11 WDevin Vassell Under 14.5 Points@ -1742026-06-02 LStephon Castle Under 5.5 Rebounds@ -1662026-06-01 WVictor Wembanyama Under 29.5 Points@ -1742026-05-31 WDevin Vassell Under 14.5 Points@ -1782026-05-30 WOG Anunoby Over 14.5 Points@ -1802026-05-29 LChet Holmgren Over 7.5 Rebounds@ -1752026-05-29 LIsaiah Hartenstein Over 7.5 Rebounds@ -1752026-05-28 WJosh Hart Over 3.5 Assists@ -1722026-05-27

Same model

LOG Anunoby Over 16.5 Points@ -1752026-06-11 WDevin Vassell Under 15.5 Points@ -1742026-06-13 LStephon Castle Under 5.5 Rebounds@ -1662026-06-01 WVictor Wembanyama Under 29.5 Points@ -1742026-05-31 WDevin Vassell Under 14.5 Points@ -1742026-06-02

CLV math

Posted

-145

1.6897

Closing

-104

1.9615

Delta

-13.86%

posted/closing - 1

Market closed tighter than where we shipped. One pick is noise; the trend at /record tells the story.

Audit trail

Pick ID#994

UUIDe0ad85f5-6975-41dc-9e40-15babf5d66d6

Surfaceprop-slate-daily

Posted2026-05-20 20:30 UTC

Graded2026-05-21 06:45 UTC

ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger

Opening hash592df91782d9c684eaa516716719d59dfb722a465213f716befa82c8224f070c

Closing line-104 captured 2026-05-20 23:10 UTC

CLV delta-13.86%

Closing hash6c0f6187a351f46224438bac0808a5e7408eaf10acaece13967721fbb99672ee

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Why this receipt is trustable

Append-only ledger82.7% hashed
1,255 picks locked at post-time via a Postgres trigger. Nothing edits, nothing disappears.
Graded against close63.4% closed
1,243 settled picks · 63.4% carry the closing-line hash. CLV is published, not estimated.
Every pick public12 pending
Wins, losses, voids, and disputes — all carry the same /record/[id] receipt.

Entertainment, not financial advice. 21+ only. Past performance does not predict future results. If sports betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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