Aneesah Morrow Over 8.5 Rebounds
Toronto Tempo @ Connecticut Sun
Edge
Empirical 66.7% over last 15 games vs 62.5% implied → +4.1pt EV.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
WNBA player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (betrivers)
Risk
Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25.
Game context
Context signals
- +4.1pt EV vs implied
- Opp ranks #2 vs this prop (+14.2% vs league avg over 108 games)
- 66.7% over last 15 games
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2Trailing 30-day window
Picks
23
Settled
23
Hit rate
60.9%
14-9
ROI
-4.96%
-0.17u
CLV avg
+0.96%
n=23
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (23 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (18)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#1210
UUIDaeb43f21-5a58-49cc-99db-d6bda7942c01
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-06-18 20:30 UTC
Graded2026-06-20 03:05 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash5175c8d3d7921b0f738a4eebb152970f8c2544ace3f0a6a38f8d16e0823307bb
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Why this receipt is trustable
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