Gleyber Torres Over 0.5 Hits
Detroit Tigers @ CHI White Sox
Edge
Empirical 80.8% over last 15 games vs 64.0% implied → +16.8pt EV.
Signal
Lineup gate cleared (or watchdog T-30 fallback)
Context
MLB player-prop alt surface, over-side EV-gated (draftkings)
Risk
Empirical-only model on last 15 games; opp + park adjustments not modeled. CLV-tracked. Kelly-sized at 0.25. · elite-gate: n=0 < min 30
Final · Grading detail
Detroit Tigers1
Chicago White Sox3
Winner: Chicago White Sox · 2026-09-19
Model Record (30d)
prop-edge-v2-handed-fallback-parkTrailing 30-day window
Picks
6
Settled
6
Hit rate
60.0%
3-2
ROI
-5.75%
-0.04u
CLV avg
+0.22%
n=5
Last 20 settled · cumulative units
ProvisionalProvisional sample (6 settled). Below the 500-pick verification gate — treat ROI as directional, not proof of edge.
Related Picks (20)
Same slate
Same team (7d)
Same model
Audit trail
Pick ID#11542
UUIDc376cf91-53b4-4e3f-94a0-584c8dedd7c5
Surfaceprop-slate-daily
Posted2026-09-19 15:02 UTC
Graded2026-09-20 18:19 UTC
ImmutableLocked at post time by picks_immutable_guard trigger
Opening hash74380f91d7dd1181bbd2e3ca3a3e7b691068ca5bab3d9956772cf9ee92344888
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Why this receipt is trustable
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